Place your wager
The Disclosure Pool
Pick the date. Any date. The date it finally, officially, no-take-backs happens.
Here is what counts, for scoring purposes: an official, on-camera confirmation of non-human intelligence by a G7 government. A sitting official, speaking as the government, saying the thing. Not “we cannot explain these objects.” Not “we take reports seriously.” Not a former official on a podcast, a retired colonel with a manila folder, or a whistleblower describing what a friend saw in a hangar he cannot name. We have had all of those. We have had them since 1947. They are lovely. They do not count.
Edge cases go to the site owner, whose rulings are final, arbitrary, and rendered in the tradition of every ruling body this field has ever had. All terms subject to the phenomenon’s approval, which, on the historical evidence, is not coming.
You may also select Never, a respectable position with a perfect record so far. Or you may select It already happened and nobody cared, which is this site’s entire thesis wearing a name tag. The government put three UFO videos on the front page of the New York Times in 2017 and the market did not blink. Sit with that. Then vote.
One guess per person. We will know. We will not know. Honor system.
No prizes. No personal data beyond what you type in the box. One guess per person, on the honor system, the honor system being the only system that has ever actually governed this field.
The standings